Hey there, folks! Let’s dive into the wild world of fantasy football and see which players are standing out and which ones might be misleading. This week, we’ve got some interesting insights from the field that you should definitely keep an eye on!
So, let’s kick things off in Indianapolis. The Colts are shaking things up with Joe Flacco taking over at quarterback. Now, you might see Josh Downs ranked 32nd for receiving yards per game, and think, “meh, not that impressive,” but hold on! Flacco has changed the game for him. In fact, Downs is topping the charts with the most catchable targets per game, averaging a solid 9.0. He’s also sitting pretty in the top five for yards per route run. Not to mention, he’s been the fifth best in fantasy points among wide receivers this season.
After bouncing back from a high-ankle sprain, Downs is proving he’s a fantastic route runner. He holds down the 13th spot on ESPN’s Open Score scale. With Flacco, Colts receivers could see an uptick in both accuracy and volume; they’ve been averaging 17 more passes with Flacco under center. This week, Downs faces a generous Vikings defense that’s given up the most fantasy points to wide receivers this year. Remember, despite missing practice on Wednesday (likely just a rest day), I’ve got Downs marked as a top-15 WR this week!
Now slipping over to Tampa Bay, Baker Mayfield has been on fire! He’s leading the league in touchdown passes, but let’s talk real for a second—regression might be knocking on his door. Mayfield’s touchdown rate is sky-high at 7.4%, which is much better than his career average of 4.9%. With key players like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin out, he’s going to lean on Cade Otton more than he likely wanted.
The real kicker? Tampa Bay is facing off against the Chiefs this week, who have a mean pressure rate on defense. The Buccaneers are projected to score only 17.5 points, the lowest this week. So, while Mayfield is enjoying a touchdown bonanza now, reality could hit hard real quick!
Onward to New Orleans, where Chris Olave has been quietly consistent. Despite sharing low fantasy scoring with a couple of rookies, his stock is rising. In his latest game, Olave racked up a staggering 14 targets after coming back from injury, showing he’s not just good — he’s on fire! With a whopping 37% target share and a great matchup against a leaky Panthers defense that’s known for giving up touchdowns, Olave could be a sneaky start. Keep your eyes peeled; he’s definitely one to watch.
Lastly, let’s chat about Miami and the returning superstar, Tua Tagovailoa. Tyreek Hill has had a rough time without Tua, averaging just 55.3 yards per game and struggling to find the end zone. However, with Tua back in the picture, we can expect Hill’s fortunes to change dramatically! Historically, he averages a jaw-dropping 107.3 receiving yards and more than one touchdown every game with Tua throwing the rock. Hill is also leading the team with a 28% target share, leaving his running mate Jaylen Waddle in the dust with only 15%.
Though Hill sat out practice this week due to a minor foot injury, he’s expected to bounce back. Miami’s offense has the potential to look explosive under Tua, and Hill could very well find himself back in the top-tier fantasy WR chats.
This week’s matchups offer loads of excitement, and as fantasy managers, it’s crucial to stay informed and adaptable. Whether you’re riding high on a player or debating a trade, remember the numbers can sometimes be tricky. Good luck out there, and may your fantasy teams thrive!
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